About Punter's Genie

We know the future! Well, maybe not, but we can have a pretty good crack at it.

There are dozens, if not hundreds, of websites on the Internet providing tips for horse racing. They use contacts in the racing business, stable hands, statistics, systems, guesswork, and combinations of these methods. Some are good, some average, and some are worse than sticking a pin in the racecard.

We are different. "Every site says they're different!" I hear you cry. Well, we really are different for several reasons. We use pure statistical analysis, and do not try to disguise that fact. We do not have contacts in the racing business, we don't know any stable hands, and guesswork really isn't something we're into. All of our predictions are based on the analysis of historical data and the application of cutting edge modelling techniques to racing. What makes our system different from others is the way we use statistical analysis. We use tools and models that, as far as we can see, have never been applied to the world of horse racing. These are models and methods that are more normally found in high finance, customer relationship managment, the insurance industry and so on.

There are two of us at Punter's Genie. We are both Theoretical Physics graduates (that's the part where people normally turn off!). One is an accomplished statistical modeller. The other has worked in the IT industry for seven years. We have both had a healthy (and sometimes unhealthy) interest in gambling for many years, and both believe that cycles, patterns and predictions can be found in any system if you look hard enough and know how to recognise them. It is very important to be realistic as well. In many systems, by the time you find the pattens it is too late to take advantage of them. This was not the case with horse racing.

Originally, these models were set up to predict winners for our own amusment (and financial gain of course). It was all low stakes and a bit of fun. We soon discovered, though, that the models were pretty good at predicting winners. Better than we thought they would be, in fact. We also got a win probability for each horse. From this we could gauge how confident the models were that their predictions would be correct. That was the turning point.

We met up to have a few beers and discuss the whole statistical modelling process and what we were going to do with it. We both turned up with exactly the same idea of what to do - publish the predictions. The vehicle to publish these predictions was obvious - and this website is the result!

We spent a great deal of effort making the prediction models tighter and more efficient. We also found that an appropriate staking model was essential for profit making. It is the combination of prediction and staking, as well as knowing which races to include in the betting strategy that produces results.

When we realised that we had a model that was statistically shown to be consistantly profitable it was very hard not to grin manically - we knew we had something very, very good. And we knew that there were many people for whom this would be a very, very useful tool.

Have a look at the FAQ for some more information, and make sure you check out the Results Pages to see how we have done so far.